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Friday, June 29, 2007
Last updated 9:08 a.m. PT

Sonics' rebuilding looks more like demolition

By ART THIEL
P-I COLUMNIST

That can't be all.

No team plays decent NBA basketball with a dozen forwards and no proven players at center and point guard.

At the moment, the Sonics roster is the hoops equivalent of Pam Anderson. It's going to topple over without some ballast and balance.

So any rational judgment about the biggest draft day in the Sonics' 40-year history must be reserved. More has to be coming.

Otherwise, Sonics fans would have to take owner Clay Bennett and general manager Sam Presti into the street and pummel them, and who wants to spend the impending holiday arranging for bail money?

Feel free to cheer the drafting of potential superstar Kevin Durant, who arrived via dumb luck.

Feel free to boo the trading of proven superstar Ray Allen, whose departure for unprovens and has-beens just may be dumb.

But the big picture for 2007-08 remains unknowable. And uncomfortable. Every move by Bennett will be greeted with suspicion, and every move by Presti is mysterious, because as a rookie he has no track record.

Bennett on Thursday called the moves "transformative," a word that presumes a plan toward improvement. That is yet to be known. At the moment, "blown up" fits better.

What can be reasonably surmised is that the departure of Allen was all about the Benjamins. Bennett wanted no part of the remaining three years of Allen's $80 million contract.

It didn't help that Allen is 32 next month and coming off surgery on both ankles. Yes, he had the top-scoring season of his career (26.4 ppg), but it lasted only 55 games because of injuries.

Dissecting Durant

Offense

This is Kevin Durant's best asset. He may go down as one of the league's great scorers because he doesn't have a weakness in his arsenal.

Photo As a freshman at Texas, he shot 47 percent from the field, 40 percent from the 3-point line and nearly 82 percent from the line.

He has a smooth, comfortable shooting stroke, can put the ball on the floor well for a big man and also has the ability to post up, despite his thinner frame. And he is consistent. Of his 35 games for the Longhorns, Durant scored fewer than 20 points just five times.

-- Gary Washburn

25.8 points per game as a freshman at Texas

37 points, season high (four times, at Colorado, at Oklahoma State, at Texas Tech, at Kansas)

40.4 3-point percentage

Video highlights from Durant's college years

Defense

Photo While he admits he needs work, Durant has the ability to block shots and grab steals because of his length and wingspan. That will get him by until he learns how to defend NBA small forwards. But for the first few years of his career, like his slim predecessors, he is going to get worked in the paint. But his leaping ability and footwork should help him improve quickly.

Teams are not going to pass on Durant because of his lack of defensive prowess as an 18-year-old. This may be an aspect that will trail behind his offense, but it will improve eventually with hard work.

-- Gary Washburn

1.9 blocks per game

1.9 steals per game

Video highlights from Durant's college years

Rebounding

Given Durant's lack of strength and inability to bench press 185 pounds even once at the NBA predraft camp, it's difficult to believe he was much of a rebounder in college. But he was fourth in the nation in rebounding as a freshman, perhaps an even more impressive statistic than his 25.8 points per game scoring average.

Durant will use his length and leaping ability to nab some boards, but it will be especially difficult for him in the paint. Durant will have to gain bulk to compete with some of the league's more aggressive rebounders, but since he is a basketball player with a brimming IQ, he should find ways to get to the ball.

-- Gary Washburn

Attributes

Photo Durant's length and wingspan are awe-inspiring and he is just 18 years old. That means two things: He is going to put on some significant weight in the next few years and also could grow a couple of inches. The Durant in 2011 will be considerably different than the one now, and the one now is pretty good. He will have to work on his strength, but his footwork, fundamentals and desire are all impressive for a player of his youth.

-- Gary Washburn

6-foot-9, 225 pounds

7-foot- wingspan

33 ½ vertical leap

Intangibles

Photo Durant won’t take long to captivate the city of Seattle with his skills, work ethic and personality.

Durant is not the typical highly touted rookie. He is humble almost to a fault and will soak in knowledge from veterans during his rookie season and keep his mouth shut.

Durant is a quiet assassin who takes pride in dominating his opponent without all of the trash talk and bravado. And as he learns, matures and grows, Durant will become an All-Star and Seattle favorite, if the team remains in the Emerald City.

-- Gary Washburn

Thiel's Take

By the time he reaches most of his physical prime, Durant is likely to be among the top five players at three positions -- big guard and either forward. The versatility is without doubt his chief and unmatchable virtue.

Unlike Greg Oden, who has one (very important) position, Durant's skills allow him to excel where a team is weakest. Since on offense he can face the basket as well as post up, and on defense is sufficiently quick and long to defend three positions, he becomes a coach's best asset.

That's why the argument that he plays the same spot in Seattle occupied by free agent forward Rashard Lewis is largely irrelevant. Not only can he play power forward beside Lewis with little compromise, he can supplant Lewis and Ray Allen for shorter periods. His slenderness for PF is purely a function of age that will disappear with the calendar.

The Sonics' heyday in the mid-1990s under George Karl featured several key players between 6-4 and 6-10 whose roles were interchangeable depending on matchups and game situations. It's a subtle but significant virtue for an adroit coach whose strategic goal is to exploit advantages and hide weaknesses.

This from his Texas coach, Rick Barnes: "I told him when we recruited him, 'You should want it all. I'm talking about the impact you can have on your sport and on other people. Look at Michael Jordan and Tiger Woods, the greatest ones. You're one of those guys.'"

-- Art Thiel

*

Kevin Durant
Explainer

And if you believe in the sports-business axiom of trading a player a year early instead of a year late, a thin case might be made that Allen's time to go has come.

The problem is the same can be said for the franchise in Seattle.

Allen was the anchor, and now the club appears adrift, if it hadn't already. His departure plays into the notion that next season will be a lame-duck kiddie-fest as Bennett saves most of his resources and interest for the court fight to relocate the team.

The vacancy at the top of the roster is compounded by what was acquired from the Boston Celtics -- two back-ups in forward Wally Szczerbiak and guard Delonte West, throw-ins for salary-match purposes, and the No. 5 pick that became Jeff Green, a 6-foot-9 forward from Georgetown and the Big East Conference player of the year.

Although Green was on the radar of no one in Seattle because the Sonics had just drafted Durant and are favored to retain another small forward, Rashard Lewis, the kid sounds pretty good. At 6-9 and 235 pounds, he has bulk Durant lacks, and is considered a brilliant passer and solid defender. After his workout for the 76ers in Philadelphia, GM Billy King said, "To handle and shoot the ball, he's very impressive for that size to do those things."

Presti insisted that Green would be a great complement to the high-scoring Durant, except that the other forward is supposed to be Lewis, of whom the bosses reiterated it is their full intention to re-sign.

So at the moment it appears the Sonics have traded a seven-time All-Star for a rookie forward who will get maybe 20 minutes a game off the bench. The last time the Sonics traded their best player, Gary Payton in 2003, at least they acquired Allen from Milwaukee.

Not only did the Sonics get nothing approaching equivalence for Allen, they failed to get from the Celtics Theo Ratliff, a serviceable center who has just one year left on his contract at $10 million.

Ratliff would have been better at center than Robert Swift, who may not be fully recovered from knee surgery by the start of the season, and also had an expiring contract.

But that asset remains with the Celtics in case they want to make more moves.

If the Sonics plan to make more moves, their more tradable assets such as Luke Ridnour, Nick Collison and Chris Wilcox are all on multiyear deals. Not impossible, just harder.

One move that has become imperative is re-signing free agent Lewis. Despite Bennett's disdain for the NBA salary scale -- how he didn't know before purchasing remains a mystery -- every team has a big-money star. Without Allen, Lewis becomes the guy.

When free agency begins, a sign-and-trade with Lewis looms as a possibility, which could bring a veteran point guard or veteran center and relieve the jam at forward.

Yet if Lewis and Allen are gone, Swift returns and a new point guard arrives, that means a near-total lineup blowup. Obviously, after a 31-51 season that was the worst in 20 years, the case can be made that the outcome was merited.

But given the external circumstances about potential relocation, a case can be made that the relative unattractiveness of a cheap, imbalanced roster loaded with kids and no veteran leadership is of little concern for an ownership fixed on a spot two years down a Midwest road.

Oh, yeah. Durant. He should be fun. But only the Sonics could manage to overshadow his acquisition with anxiety.

Surely the Sonics have a few more circus moves. The fans' apprehension is that one of them is unplugging the calliope.

P-I columnist Art Thiel can be reached at 206-448-8135 or artthiel@seattlepi.com.
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